Oberliga - Hessen · Germany

Darmstadt 98 II vs Bayern Alzenau Prediction

Darmstadt 98 II badgeDarmstadt 98 II vs Bayern Alzenau badgeBayern Alzenau

Match prediction

The existing model favours Darmstadt 98 II as the winner, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability, leaving only 10% for Bayern Alzenau, so the advice is best read as a narrow lean rather than a confident call. The comparison metrics reinforce that lean unevenly: form is level at 50.00 for both sides, yet Darmstadt dominate attack (80.00 vs 20.00), Poisson (81.00 vs 19.00), goals (75.00 vs 25.00) and total (66.00 vs 34.00), while the head-to-head split of 100.00 to 0.00 rests on only two meetings and should be treated cautiously. Darmstadt's ten-game record of four wins, three draws and three losses, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded at 2.20 and 1.40 per game, points to a side that creates regularly but rarely keeps clean sheets, having managed just one shutout. Bayern Alzenau's contrasting profile of one win, four draws and five losses, with only eight goals scored and 16 conceded, shows a blunt attack at 0.80 per game and a defence that leaks 2.40 goals per away match specifically. The goals analysis sharpens this: Darmstadt have gone over 1.5 goals in six of ten matches, whereas Alzenau have been held under 2.5 goals in all ten and failed to score in four of their ten fixtures. Recent form complicates the picture, as Darmstadt's last five produced one win, one draw and three defeats, including a 0-2 loss at Eintracht Stadtallendorf, so their attacking edge has not translated into momentum. Alzenau's last five are similarly poor with one win, one draw and three losses, though a 0-0 draw with Baunatal and a 2-0 win over 1960 Hanau show they can occasionally keep opponents out. The head-to-head record offers Darmstadt some support, with a 1-0 home win in December 2024 and a 2-1 away victory in February 2025, but two matches is a small sample and both were decided by a single goal. Overall, the statistical weight behind Darmstadt is real but the level form scores, their own recent slump and the unusually high draw probability suggest the winner advice carries meaningful risk rather than a clear edge.

Predicted winner
Darmstadt 98 II
Betting advice
Winner : Darmstadt 98 II
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorDarmstadt 98 IIBayern Alzenau
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack80.0%20.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson81.0%19.0%
H2h100.0%0.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total66.0%34.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Darmstadt 98 II

Recent form: WDWDWDLWLL.

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Bayern Alzenau

Recent form: LDDLDLLWLD.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bayern Alzenau 1–2 Darmstadt 98 II (22 Feb 2025)
  2. Darmstadt 98 II 1–0 Bayern Alzenau (01 Dec 2024)
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