Dagenham & Redbridge vs Hampton & Richmond Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Dagenham & Redbridge avoiding defeat, with a 45% home win and 45% draw against only 10% for Hampton & Richmond, so the double-chance advice reflects a fixture where the away side is given little standalone chance. That view is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Dagenham's defensive score of 63 and Poisson score of 95 dwarf Hampton's 38 and 5, and Dagenham also edge the goals comparison 57 to 43 and the overall total 55.70 to 44.50. However, the form and attack splits cut the other way, with Hampton rated higher on form (56 to 44) and far higher on attack (75 to 25), which suggests the model's confidence rests more on defensive solidity and match-level modelling than on current momentum. The team analysis supports that tension: Dagenham have five wins, one draw and three losses across nine games with four clean sheets, while Hampton have only two wins, two draws and five losses, including no away wins and just one clean sheet all season. Hampton's goals profile is the most contradictory element, as they average 2.30 goals at home but only 0.40 away, while conceding 3.00 per away game, so their attacking threat appears heavily venue-dependent and unlikely to travel well to Victoria Road. Dagenham's own scoring is modest at 1.00 per game overall, but their defensive average of 0.80 and home concession rate of 0.50 give the draw a plausible route alongside a home win. The last-five records add further qualification, since Dagenham have two wins, two draws and one loss with three clean sheets in that span, whereas Hampton have one win, two draws and two losses and have conceded three or more in three of those matches. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced at 50-50 in the comparison and shows two home wins in the two meetings, Dagenham winning 3-1 at Victoria Road and Hampton winning 2-1 at Beveree Stadium, which slightly undercuts any assumption of Dagenham dominance. Overall, the evidence jointly supports the double chance mainly through Hampton's poor away record, weak defence and low Poisson rating, but the balanced head-to-head and Hampton's superior form and attack scores mean the draw component carries real weight rather than the home win being assured.

Predicted winner

Dagenham & Redbridge

Betting advice

Double chance : Dagenham & Redbridge or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Dagenham & Redbridge 3–1 Hampton & Richmond (28 Mar 2026)
2. Hampton & Richmond 2–1 Dagenham & Redbridge (23 Aug 2025)