D. Puerto Montt vs Colo Colo Prediction
· Estadio Regional de Chinquihue
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, with Colo Colo's 10% away win probability making an away victory the least likely outcome.
- Puerto Montt's perfect home record of three wins and no losses from four matches supports the home side of the double chance.
- Colo Colo's stronger overall form of five wins and one loss in eight slightly undercuts the model's heavy home lean.
- Puerto Montt's defensive edge, conceding only 0.50 goals per home game versus Colo Colo's 1.00, reinforces the low-risk draw-or-home advice.
- Both attacks rate equally at 50, so the prediction rests more on Puerto Montt's defensive superiority than on any attacking advantage.
- Puerto Montt's head-to-head score of 67 against Colo Colo's 33, including a recent friendly win, adds historical weight to the double chance.
- Predicted winner
- D. Puerto Montt
- Betting advice
- Double chance : D. Puerto Montt or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | D. Puerto Montt | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Poisson | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| H2h | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Goals | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
D. Puerto Montt
Recent form: DLWWWLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Colo Colo
Recent form: WWWLDWDW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- D. Puerto Montt 2–1 Colo Colo (09 Oct 2025)
- Colo Colo 4–2 D. Puerto Montt (14 Jun 2019)
- D. Puerto Montt 2–0 Colo Colo (09 Jun 2019)