World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Czech Republic U21 vs Bulgaria U21 Prediction
· FINEP Arena
Match prediction
- Bulgaria's stronger recent form and perfect head-to-head record support the model's decision to favor them despite Czech Republic's superior attacking output.
- The Czechs' perfect home defensive record conflicts with their lowly 10% win probability, suggesting the model weighs Bulgaria's momentum more heavily.
- Both teams' goal profiles point overwhelmingly to low totals, with neither exceeding 3.5 goals in any recent match, reinforcing the under 3.5 selection.
- The near-even split between draw and Bulgaria win justifies the double chance advice, as the model sees little separating the sides.
- Bulgaria's away scoring struggles and Czech Republic's home clean sheets create genuine uncertainty, which explains why the draw carries equal probability to a Bulgaria win.
- The head-to-head sample is a single match, so it strengthens Bulgaria's case only modestly rather than decisively.
- Predicted winner
- Bulgaria U21
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Bulgaria U21 and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Czech Republic U21 | Bulgaria U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Czech Republic U21
Recent form: WWWLDDWD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Bulgaria U21
Recent form: WDLWLWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bulgaria U21 2–1 Czech Republic U21 (14 Oct 2025)


