World · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Czech Republic U21 vs Bulgaria U21 Prediction

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Czech Republic U21 badgeCzech Republic U21 vs Bulgaria U21 badgeBulgaria U21

Match prediction

  • Bulgaria's stronger recent form and perfect head-to-head record support the model's decision to favor them despite Czech Republic's superior attacking output.
  • The Czechs' perfect home defensive record conflicts with their lowly 10% win probability, suggesting the model weighs Bulgaria's momentum more heavily.
  • Both teams' goal profiles point overwhelmingly to low totals, with neither exceeding 3.5 goals in any recent match, reinforcing the under 3.5 selection.
  • The near-even split between draw and Bulgaria win justifies the double chance advice, as the model sees little separating the sides.
  • Bulgaria's away scoring struggles and Czech Republic's home clean sheets create genuine uncertainty, which explains why the draw carries equal probability to a Bulgaria win.
  • The head-to-head sample is a single match, so it strengthens Bulgaria's case only modestly rather than decisively.
Predicted winner
Bulgaria U21
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Bulgaria U21 and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorCzech Republic U21Bulgaria U21
Form38.0%63.0%
Attack58.0%42.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total44.8%55.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Czech Republic U21

Recent form: WWWLDDWD.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Bulgaria U21

Recent form: WDLWLWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bulgaria U21 2–1 Czech Republic U21 (14 Oct 2025)
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