World · UEFA Nations League

Cyprus vs Latvia Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Cyprus

Cyprus badgeCyprus vs Latvia badgeLatvia

Match prediction

  • Cyprus's stronger form, attack, defence and Poisson scores support the model's home lean, though the 45-45 split shows the draw carries equal weight.
  • Latvia's three-match winless run and two scoreless defeats justify the low away probability, but their recent goalless draw with Cyprus warns against dismissing them.
  • Cyprus's home clean sheet and Latvia's failure to score in two of three matches point to a low-scoring contest, tempering confidence in a decisive home win.
  • The head-to-head and goals comparisons are perfectly level, so the model's edge for Cyprus rests on current form rather than any historical or scoring superiority.
  • Both prior meetings ended drawn, which reinforces the draw's equal 45 percent share and makes the outright Cyprus advice the riskier side of the prediction.
  • Cyprus scoring only once away while Latvia concede late goals suggests a tight match where the winner may need just a single goal.
Predicted winner
Cyprus
Betting advice
Winner : Cyprus
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorCyprusLatvia
Form80.0%20.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence67.0%33.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total64.4%35.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Cyprus

Recent form: LDW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Latvia

Recent form: LDL.

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Latvia 0–0 Cyprus (28 Sep 2026)
  2. Cyprus 1–1 Latvia (21 Mar 2024)
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