Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B

Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo Prediction

Cumbayá badgeCumbayá vs Santo Domingo badgeSanto Domingo

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, justifies the double-chance advice rather than a straight home win.
  • Cumbayá's attack rating of 65 against Santo Domingo's defence of 57 supports the home side's edge in the Poisson estimate.
  • Santo Domingo's superior form and head-to-head record, including a recent win over Cumbayá, are the main counterweights tempering confidence in the home pick.
  • Cumbayá's 12 draws in 27 matches, including five straight at one point, reinforce the draw leg of the double chance.
  • Santo Domingo's away scoring average of 0.70 goals per game weakens their case to win on the road despite stronger overall form.
  • Both teams' low-scoring profiles, with most matches under 2.5 goals, suggest a tight contest where avoiding defeat matters more than outright victory.
Predicted winner
Cumbayá
Betting advice
Double chance : Cumbayá or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorCumbayáSanto Domingo
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack65.0%35.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson53.0%47.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals44.0%56.0%
Total46.3%53.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Cumbayá

Recent form: DLDDLWLLWDDWDLWWDDDDDLDLLWW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Santo Domingo

Recent form: LWDDLWDWLDDLWDWDLLDWDDWWLWL.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Santo Domingo 2–1 Cumbayá (04 Sep 2026)
  2. Cumbayá 3–3 Santo Domingo (13 Aug 2026)
  3. Santo Domingo 0–0 Cumbayá (23 May 2026)
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