Cultural Leonesa vs CD Coria Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Cultural Leonesa a 45% home win and 45% draw probability against CD Coria, with only 10% for an away win, and its advice combines a Cultural Leonesa-or-draw double chance with under 3.5 goals. That cautious lean is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Cultural Leonesa lead on form (64.00 vs 36.00), defence (88.00 vs 13.00) and Poisson (100.00 vs 0.00), even though Coria's attack rating of 75.00 against Leonesa's 25.00 is a clear counterweight. The team analysis explains this tension: Leonesa's DWLW record rests on three clean sheets and only two goals scored in four games, while Coria's LWLD shows six goals scored but seven conceded, including a 4-1 home win over Barakaldo and a 4-1 away loss to Real Unión. Leonesa's last five extend that pattern of low-scoring control, with 1-0 wins over Extremadura 1924 and Mérida AD, a 1-0 loss to Cacereño and goalless draws against Barakaldo and Atlético Astorga, so their attacking output looks limited rather than dominant. Coria's last five are more volatile, featuring a 4-1 win, a 4-1 defeat, a 1-1 draw with Real Avilés, a 1-0 loss at Lugo and a 2-2 draw with Extremadura 1924, which suggests their results depend heavily on match context. The goals analysis supports the under 3.5 element: Leonesa have scored just twice in four matches at 0.50 per game and conceded once at 0.30, while Coria average 1.50 scored and 1.80 conceded, with their goals spread across the second half and their defensive concessions clustering after the hour. Coria's away numbers are especially relevant, since they have scored only one goal and conceded five on the road, averaging 0.50 for and 2.50 against, which weakens their case for an away win despite their stronger attack rating. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical record between these teams can be used to support or challenge the prediction. Overall, the evidence points toward a low-scoring, tight contest where Leonesa's defensive solidity and Coria's away fragility justify the double chance and under 3.5 goals, but the 45% draw probability and Coria's occasional scoring bursts mean the outcome remains uncertain rather than assured.

Predicted winner

Cultural Leonesa

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Cultural Leonesa or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.