Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta Prediction
· Arena Pantanal
Match prediction
- Cuiaba's far stronger form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings justify the double-chance advice, though the model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each.
- Ponte Preta's 23 losses and 2.10 goals conceded per game make an away win unlikely, supporting the draw-inclusive cover rather than a straight home bet.
- Cuiaba's modest 1.00 goals per game and Ponte Preta's 0.60 suggest a low-scoring match, so the draw leg carries real weight within the advice.
- Recent head-to-head results are split evenly, which tempers home dominance and reinforces why the safer double chance is preferred over a win-only pick.
- Cuiaba's home record of only two defeats in fifteen, with eight clean sheets, strengthens the case that they avoid losing this fixture.
- Ponte Preta's away form is dire, with zero away draws and eleven away failures to score, making the draw the main threat to the home leg.
- Predicted winner
- Cuiaba
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Cuiaba or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Cuiaba | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Attack | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Total | 67.5% | 32.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Cuiaba
Recent form: DDLDWDDDDLWWWLDWDLLDDWWDWLWDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Ponte Preta
Recent form: LDLLWWLLLLDLLLLLLLLDLDLLLLLLWL.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ponte Preta 1–2 Cuiaba (10 Jun 2026)
- Ponte Preta 2–2 Cuiaba (11 Jan 2021)
- Cuiaba 2–1 Ponte Preta (09 Oct 2020)
- Ponte Preta 3–0 Cuiaba (28 Sep 2019)
- Cuiaba 1–3 Ponte Preta (02 Jun 2019)