Romania · Liga III - Serie 1

CSM FC Vaslui vs USV Iaşi Prediction

CSM FC Vaslui badgeCSM FC Vaslui vs USV Iaşi badgeUSV Iaşi

Match prediction

  • Both teams share identical recent form, so the model's 45-45 split between home win and draw reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
  • Vaslui's superior attack and goals output, plus a dominant head-to-head record, justify favoring them within the double-chance advice.
  • Iasi's stronger defence and clean-sheet record qualify that edge, explaining why the draw absorbs nearly half the probability.
  • The head-to-head sample is small and includes away wins for Iasi, so it strengthens rather than guarantees Vaslui's home advantage.
  • Poisson estimates are nearly even, reinforcing that the double chance is the safer expression of Vaslui's modest overall superiority.
Predicted winner
CSM FC Vaslui
Betting advice
Double chance : CSM FC Vaslui or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorCSM FC VasluiUSV Iaşi
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack63.0%37.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2h93.0%7.0%
Goals81.0%19.0%
Total62.0%38.0%

Team form and goal analysis

CSM FC Vaslui

Recent form: WDWWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

USV Iaşi

Recent form: WDWWWW.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. CSM FC Vaslui 2–2 USV Iaşi (25 Apr 2026)
  2. CSM FC Vaslui 7–1 USV Iaşi (29 Nov 2025)
  3. USV Iaşi 0–2 CSM FC Vaslui (19 Sep 2025)
  4. CSM FC Vaslui 3–1 USV Iaşi (24 May 2025)
  5. USV Iaşi 0–3 CSM FC Vaslui (18 Apr 2025)
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