Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest

CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod Prediction

CSKA Sofia III badgeCSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod badgeKostinbrod

Match prediction

  • Kostinbrod's superior form and attack metrics support the away side, though CSKA Sofia III's draw-heavy profile explains the near-equal draw probability.
  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical advice, since the home win is only 10%.
  • CSKA Sofia III's six draws in eight matches, including a four-game streak, materially strengthens the draw component of the double chance.
  • Kostinbrod's five wins from nine with no draws contrasts sharply with the home side's draw tendency, yet both teams' low scoring caps the away win probability.
  • Head-to-head is perfectly split with both meetings won by the home side, weakening any strong away lean and reinforcing the draw-or-away hedge.
  • Both teams average under one goal scored and conceded, so the low-scoring profile supports avoiding a straight away win in favor of double chance.
Predicted winner
Kostinbrod
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Kostinbrod
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorCSKA Sofia IIIKostinbrod
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack46.0%54.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson43.0%57.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total45.7%54.3%

Team form and goal analysis

CSKA Sofia III

Recent form: DDDDLWDD.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Kostinbrod

Recent form: LWLWWLWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. CSKA Sofia III 1–0 Kostinbrod (30 May 2026)
  2. Kostinbrod 3–2 CSKA Sofia III (15 Nov 2025)
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