Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest
CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod Prediction
Match prediction
- Kostinbrod's superior form and attack metrics support the away side, though CSKA Sofia III's draw-heavy profile explains the near-equal draw probability.
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical advice, since the home win is only 10%.
- CSKA Sofia III's six draws in eight matches, including a four-game streak, materially strengthens the draw component of the double chance.
- Kostinbrod's five wins from nine with no draws contrasts sharply with the home side's draw tendency, yet both teams' low scoring caps the away win probability.
- Head-to-head is perfectly split with both meetings won by the home side, weakening any strong away lean and reinforcing the draw-or-away hedge.
- Both teams average under one goal scored and conceded, so the low-scoring profile supports avoiding a straight away win in favor of double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Kostinbrod
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Kostinbrod
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | CSKA Sofia III | Kostinbrod |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
CSKA Sofia III
Recent form: DDDDLWDD.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Kostinbrod
Recent form: LWLWWLWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- CSKA Sofia III 1–0 Kostinbrod (30 May 2026)
- Kostinbrod 3–2 CSKA Sofia III (15 Nov 2025)


