CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% Arsenal Tula split reflects genuine uncertainty, so the double-chance advice sensibly covers both outcomes rather than backing a single winner.
• Arsenal Tula's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point one way, yet CSKA Moscow's head-to-head edge shows historical dominance that recent metrics may understate.
• CSKA Moscow's zero clean sheets across thirteen matches and Arsenal Tula's single shutout suggest neither defence reliably suppresses the other, supporting the +1.5 goals component.
• Arsenal Tula's away record of three wins and no losses contrasts sharply with CSKA's mixed home form, strengthening the case for the visitors avoiding defeat.
• Both teams' goals-for and goals-against averages near two per game indicate a moderately open contest, consistent with the modest +1.5 threshold rather than a high-scoring expectation.
• The most recent head-to-head was a 1-1 friendly draw, echoing the model's near-equal draw and away probabilities while cautioning against overreading older CSKA wins.

Predicted winner

Arsenal Tula

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Arsenal Tula and +1.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

+1.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. CSKA Moscow 1–1 Arsenal Tula (04 Jul 2026)
2. CSKA Moscow 2–0 Arsenal Tula (11 Dec 2021)
3. Arsenal Tula 2–2 CSKA Moscow (12 Sep 2021)
4. Arsenal Tula 1–2 CSKA Moscow (08 Apr 2021)
5. Arsenal Tula 2–1 CSKA Moscow (13 Mar 2021)