Northern-Ireland · Premiership Women
Crusaders Strikers W vs Derry City W Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45-45 split between home win and draw, with only 10% for Derry, directly supports the double-chance advice rather than a straight home pick.
- Crusaders' superior recent form and defensive edge outweigh Derry's slight Poisson and goals advantage, keeping the home side marginally favoured.
- Head-to-head is perfectly balanced at 50-50, and the most recent meeting ended 3-3, reinforcing draw risk within the double chance.
- Both teams concede heavily and rarely keep clean sheets, so the +1.5 goals component is well supported by their defensive records.
- Derry's away form is notably weaker than their home form, which strengthens the case for Crusaders avoiding defeat.
- Crusaders' recent 1-7 loss to Linfield shows high variance in their results, a caution against treating the double chance as safe.
- Predicted winner
- Crusaders Strikers W
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Crusaders Strikers W or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Crusaders Strikers W | Derry City W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Attack | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Crusaders Strikers W
Recent form: DWLWWLLDDLLDLWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Derry City W
Recent form: LLLWWLLDWLLLWLDW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Derry City W 3–3 Crusaders Strikers W (03 Jul 2026)
- Crusaders Strikers W 3–1 Derry City W (08 May 2026)
- Crusaders Strikers W 0–3 Derry City W (12 Oct 2025)
- Derry City W 3–1 Crusaders Strikers W (05 Sep 2025)
- Crusaders Strikers W 4–2 Derry City W (09 May 2025)