Croatia U19 vs Italy U19 Prediction
Final result: Croatia U19 0–1 Italy U19 (Match Finished)
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities reflect a fixture where Croatia's stronger form is offset by Italy's defensive resilience.
- Croatia's perfect form score and 2.00 goals per game contrast with Italy's single loss and scoreless attack, supporting the home side's edge.
- Italy's recent 0-0 draws against Croatia and Denmark, plus a 1-0 loss, indicate a low-scoring pattern that underpins the -3.5 goals advice.
- The head-to-head 0-0 draw and Croatia's modest 0.70 goals conceded per game suggest a tight contest rather than a comfortable home win.
- Croatia's 100% attack rating is inflated by a small three-match sample, so the model's equal home and draw probabilities appropriately hedge the winner.
- Italy's failure to score in three of five recent matches makes the under -3.5 goals advice more credible than the outright Croatia win.
- Predicted winner
- Croatia U19
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Croatia U19 and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Croatia U19 | Italy U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 41.5% | 58.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Croatia U19
Recent form: WWD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Italy U19
Recent form: L.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Croatia U19 0–0 Italy U19 (02 Jul 2026)