Crevillente vs Saguntino Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Crevillente with a 45% home win and 45% draw against only 10% for Saguntino, and its advice combines a Crevillente-or-draw double chance with under 3.5 goals. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Crevillente leads on form (63.00 vs 38.00), attack (67.00 vs 33.00) and the Poisson measure (100.00 vs 0.00), while defence is level at 50.00 and the head-to-head and goals splits actually favour Saguntino at 64.00 vs 36.00 and 56.00 vs 44.00 respectively. The team analysis reinforces the home edge in results but not in dominance: Crevillente are unbeaten in three (WDD, one win and two draws) and have scored in every match, whereas Saguntino's WLL includes two defeats without scoring, leaving them with two failed-to-score games and no clean sheet. Crevillente's goals profile is modest rather than explosive, averaging 1.30 goals for and 1.00 against, with all three of their matches staying under 2.5 and 3.5 goals, which supports the under half of the advice. Saguntino average only 0.70 goals for and have failed to score in two of three, so their attacking case rests mainly on the 2-1 wins over Torrent and Levante II rather than on recent league form. The last-five records add a cautionary note, because Crevillente's sequence includes older May wins plus September draws with Roda and Soneja, while Saguntino's most recent outings are a 0-4 loss to Navalcarnero and 0-1 defeats to Villarreal III and Ontinyent 1931, suggesting a small sample skewed by fixture context. The head-to-head record is the clearest counterweight, since the last four completed meetings produced three draws and one Saguntino win, including 0-0 and 2-2 at Crevillente's ground and a 3-2 Saguntino home victory. Those repeated draws help explain why the model gives the draw the same 45% as a Crevillente win, and they also temper any expectation of a high-scoring game despite the 3-2 result. Overall, the evidence supports the double chance more strongly than it supports a clear Crevillente victory, while the low goal totals on both sides make the under 3.5 element plausible but not certain.

Predicted winner

Crevillente

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Crevillente or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Crevillente 0–0 Saguntino (01 Mar 2026)
2. Saguntino 3–2 Crevillente (19 Oct 2025)
3. Saguntino 0–0 Crevillente (27 Apr 2025)
4. Crevillente 2–2 Saguntino (15 Dec 2024)
5. Saguntino —–— Crevillente (12 Apr 2020)