Costa Rica vs Haiti Prediction

Match prediction

• Haiti's perfect three-match form and superior attack, defence, and Poisson metrics underpin the model's 50% away win probability.
• Costa Rica's two losses in three, including a 2-0 defeat to Haiti, justify their 0% home win probability.
• The head-to-head record heavily favours Haiti, with recent wins and a draw, reinforcing the away-side prediction.
• Haiti's 3.00 goals-per-game average supports the +3.5 goals component, though their own matches mostly stayed under 3.5.
• Costa Rica's leaky defence, conceding four at home to Curaçao, suggests they can contribute goals to a high-scoring game.
• The 50% draw probability equals Haiti's win chance, so the combo bet carries clear risk despite Haiti's statistical edge.

Predicted winner

Haiti

Betting advice

Combo Winner : Haiti and +3.5 goals

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

+3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Haiti 2–0 Costa Rica (28 Sep 2026)
2. Haiti 1–0 Costa Rica (14 Nov 2025)
3. Costa Rica 3–3 Haiti (10 Sep 2025)
4. Costa Rica 1–1 Haiti (18 Nov 2019)
5. Haiti 1–1 Costa Rica (11 Oct 2019)