Cosenza vs Foggia Prediction

Match prediction

• Foggia's superior recent form and defensive record justify the draw-or-away advice, though the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities show the win is far from certain.
• Cosenza's winless seven-match run, with five defeats and only two draws, supports opposing them, but their two home draws hint the draw leg carries real weight.
• Foggia's attack and defence ratings both exceed Cosenza's, yet their modest 0.9 goals-per-game average suggests a low-scoring match rather than a comfortable away win.
• Cosenza concede heavily away but are far tighter at home, which helps explain why the model splits its confidence almost evenly between draw and Foggia victory.
• Head-to-head results favour Cosenza overall, a conflicting signal that likely tempers the away probability and reinforces the caution behind the double-chance advice.
• Both sides rarely exceed 2.5 goals, so the value in this prediction rests on avoiding defeat rather than expecting a high-scoring Foggia performance.

Predicted winner

Foggia

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Foggia

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Cosenza 1–0 Foggia (04 Apr 2026)
2. Foggia 2–1 Cosenza (30 Nov 2025)
3. Cosenza 2–0 Foggia (03 Aug 2024)
4. Foggia 1–0 Cosenza (01 Mar 2019)
5. Cosenza 2–0 Foggia (20 Oct 2018)