Coruña vs Viveiro Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward a Coruña win, but its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability and only a 10% away chance, so the advice is far from decisive. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Coruña dominates attack (100 versus 0), Poisson (100 versus 0) and head-to-head (80 versus 20), yet both form values sit at 0.00 and the goals split is a much narrower 57 to 43. The team analysis explains this tension: both sides have lost all three league games (form LLL), so the model is effectively choosing between two winless teams rather than rewarding genuine momentum. Coruña's goals profile is the more active one, averaging 1.70 scored but 3.00 conceded, with five goals spread across four different 15-minute windows and all three matches going over 2.5 goals against them. Viveiro's profile is the opposite extreme, having scored zero goals in three outings, failing to score in all three, and averaging 1.30 conceded, which makes their attacking comparison value of 0.00 look like a real signal rather than noise. The last-five records qualify both trends: Coruña's sequence is L-L-L-W-L with a 4-1 win over Cambados in May, while Viveiro's is L-L-L-L-W with a 2-1 win at Alondras also in May, so each has one older positive result against four defeats. The head-to-head record is the clearest separator, with Coruña winning 3-2 at home in March 2026 and drawing 1-1 at Viveiro in November 2025, giving the 80-20 split a concrete basis. Because these samples are only three current-season matches plus two older head-to-head meetings, the evidence supports Coruña as the more plausible winner without making that outcome reliable, and the unusually high draw probability correctly captures the risk that two struggling, low-scoring sides cancel each other out.

Predicted winner

Coruña

Betting advice

Winner : Coruña

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Coruña 3–2 Viveiro (29 Mar 2026)
2. Viveiro 1–1 Coruña (16 Nov 2025)