Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Izarra Prediction
Match prediction
- Izarra's perfect four-match form and 16 goals sharply contrast Cortes' single win, supporting the away-winner advice despite the modest 45% probability.
- Cortes' defensive solidity at home, with two clean sheets, suggests Izarra may not replicate their four-goal scoring pattern.
- The head-to-head split, with each side winning at home, tempers Izarra's dominance and hints the venue could matter.
- Cortes' away collapse, conceding six goals in two games, explains their low 10% win probability and the model's caution.
- The equal 45% draw and away probabilities indicate the model sees a close contest, so the winner advice carries real risk.
- Izarra's goals are spread across the second half, implying Cortes must survive early pressure to keep the contest tight.
- Predicted winner
- Izarra
- Betting advice
- Winner : Izarra
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Cortes | Izarra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Attack | 11.0% | 89.0% |
| Defence | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 28.8% | 71.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Cortes
Recent form: LWLD.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Izarra
Recent form: WWWW.
Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Izarra 3–0 Cortes (24 Jan 2026)
- Cortes 2–1 Izarra (14 Sep 2025)