Cornellà vs Peralada Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% Peralada split makes double chance the logical expression of its uncertainty, since Cornellà's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
• Cornellà's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings conflict with the model's low home win probability, suggesting those metrics overstate a team that has drawn three of four.
• Peralada's 100% head-to-head record and 83% goals comparison anchor the away lean, though two meetings is a small sample.
• Both sides sit unbeaten with matching four-game records, so the draw component of the advice carries genuine weight alongside Peralada's edge.
• Cornellà's defence concedes just 0.50 at home while Peralada scores 1.50 there, a tension that supports the cautious draw-or-away framing.
• Peralada's 3-0 win over Atlètic Lleida shows scoring upside, but their away form of two draws and no wins tempers outright away confidence.

Predicted winner

Peralada

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Peralada

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Peralada 3–0 Cornellà (25 Jan 2026)
2. Cornellà 1–2 Peralada (13 Sep 2025)