Super League Women · South-Africa
Copperbelt Ladies W vs Mamelodi Sundowns W Prediction
Copperbelt Ladies W vs
Mamelodi Sundowns W
Current score: Copperbelt Ladies W 0–4 Mamelodi Sundowns W (Second Half)
Match prediction
The existing model gives Mamelodi Sundowns W a 50% win probability and Copperbelt Ladies W 0%, with the remaining 50% assigned to a draw, so the advice of a draw-or-Sundowns double chance combined with under 3.5 goals leans heavily on Sundowns avoiding defeat rather than on a clear away win. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Sundowns dominate form (63.00 vs 38.00), attack (73.00 vs 27.00), defence (100.00 vs 0.00) and Poisson (100.00 vs 0.00), yet the head-to-head and goals comparison columns are both 0.00 for each side, suggesting those inputs are empty rather than genuinely even. The team analysis reinforces the same imbalance: Sundowns have won all eight matches with a perfect WWWWWWWW sequence, scoring 26 goals and conceding none, while Copperbelt sit on five wins and three losses from eight, with a WLWWLWWL pattern that includes two goalless defeats. Copperbelt's goals analysis shows a modest 1.30 goals per game overall, with 71.43% of their scoring arriving in the 31-45 minute window and only one match exceeding 2.5 goals, which supports the low-scoring half of the advice. Sundowns' goals analysis is far more prolific at 3.30 per game, but their over/under splits show four of eight matches above 3.5 goals and four below, so the under 3.5 element is not a comfortable fit with their attacking output. The last-five records sharpen this tension: Copperbelt have three wins and two defeats in low-scoring games, while Sundowns have five straight wins with a 3-0, 1-0, 1-0, 2-0 and 4-0 scoreline, meaning their recent matches have mostly stayed under 3.5 despite the season-long average. The head-to-head section is empty, so no direct historical evidence can either confirm or contradict the model's 50-50 split between draw and away win. Overall, the evidence broadly supports Sundowns being extremely difficult to beat and Copperbelt struggling to score, but the 50% draw probability and the under 3.5 condition introduce real uncertainty, since Sundowns' scoring rate could push a one-sided game past that threshold.
- Predicted winner
- Mamelodi Sundowns W
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Mamelodi Sundowns W and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Copperbelt Ladies W | Mamelodi Sundowns W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Attack | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Defence | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 32.5% | 68.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Copperbelt Ladies W
Recent form: WLWWLWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Mamelodi Sundowns W
Recent form: WWWWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 3.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.
