Japan · J2 League

Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki Prediction

· Sapporo Dome

Consadole Sapporo badgeConsadole Sapporo vs Iwaki badgeIwaki

Match prediction

  • Iwaki's 45% win and 45% draw probabilities leave only a 10% home chance, so the double-chance advice is the natural expression of that split.
  • Sapporo's form of one win in eight, including four straight losses, undercuts any home advantage despite playing at Sapporo Dome.
  • Iwaki's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point the same direction, reinforcing rather than contradicting the away-leaning probabilities.
  • The head-to-head record favours Iwaki at 71%, though Sapporo won the most recent meeting, so that trend is not unbroken.
  • Both teams concede regularly and neither keeps many clean sheets, which supports the draw component of the double chance rather than a comfortable away win.
  • Iwaki's tendency to lose as often as win, with no draws this season, makes the draw half of the advice a genuine hedge against their inconsistency.
Predicted winner
Iwaki
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Iwaki
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorConsadole SapporoIwaki
Form25.0%75.0%
Attack46.0%54.0%
Defence39.0%61.0%
Poisson44.0%56.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals32.0%68.0%
Total35.8%64.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Consadole Sapporo

Recent form: WLLLLDDL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Iwaki

Recent form: WLLLLWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Consadole Sapporo 2–1 Iwaki (25 Apr 2026)
  2. Iwaki 1–0 Consadole Sapporo (08 Feb 2026)
  3. Consadole Sapporo 1–5 Iwaki (13 Sep 2025)
  4. Iwaki 1–1 Consadole Sapporo (11 May 2025)
  5. Consadole Sapporo 2–5 Iwaki (21 Jun 2017)
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