Conegliano vs LME Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Conegliano a narrow edge for the win-or-draw double chance, with home and draw probabilities level at 35% each against 30% for LME, and the accompanying advice pairs that double chance with under 3.5 goals. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where Conegliano lead on form (58.00 versus 42.00) and on the Poisson measure (100.00 versus 0.00), while LME dominate the attack metric (67.00 versus 33.00) and hold a slight overall total advantage (53.00 versus 47.00). Defence is perfectly balanced at 50.00 apiece, and the head-to-head, goals and total comparison columns are all empty or zero, so those sections offer no separating signal and the head-to-head record itself is unavailable. Conegliano's four-match form line of LDWW rests on a remarkably tight defence: three clean sheets in four, no goals conceded at home, and only the 4-0 away loss to Campodarsego spoiling an otherwise scoreless defensive record. Their attack, however, is the clear weakness, with just two goals in four games at 0.50 per match and no match exceeding 1.5 total goals, which explains why the model leans toward the under 3.5 component rather than a confident home win. LME's WDDL is more open, with four goals scored and four conceded, and their 1.00 goals-per-game average is split unevenly between 0.50 at home and 1.50 away, suggesting their attacking threat may travel better than their home numbers imply. Their two penalties scored from two attempts add a conversion route that Conegliano's zero penalty attempts do not match, a small but real edge in a low-scoring context. The last-five records reinforce the low-scoring read: Conegliano's recent matches include three 1-0 or 0-0 scorelines plus the 4-0 defeat, while LME's four listed games produced 1-2, 1-1, 0-0 and 2-1, none of which approached the 3.5-goal threshold. Taken together, the evidence supports the double-chance protection more strongly than it supports a decisive Conegliano win, since the home side's defensive solidity and LME's modest scoring output point to a tight, low-goal match, while the 35-35-30 probability split itself acknowledges that the draw is a genuine possibility rather than a remote one.

Predicted winner

Conegliano

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Conegliano or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.