Concarneau vs Gobelins Prediction
· Stade Guy Piriou
Match prediction
- Concarneau's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings justify favoring them, but the 45% draw probability explains why double chance rather than a straight win is advised.
- Gobelins' away record without a win and low scoring output supports the home side's edge, though their three clean sheets show defensive resilience.
- Both teams' goal data never exceeding 2.5 in any match strongly supports the under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
- Head-to-head history favors Concarneau with home wins and recent draws, reinforcing the double chance selection while cautioning against expecting a decisive result.
- Gobelins' reliance on home form and struggles on the road, including a 2-0 loss at Caen, weaken their chances of an away victory.
- The draw probability matching the home win probability signals genuine uncertainty, making the combined double chance and low-goals advice the most balanced approach.
- Predicted winner
- Concarneau
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Concarneau or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Concarneau | Gobelins |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 87.0% | 13.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 67.3% | 32.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Concarneau
Recent form: LDWDDWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Gobelins
Recent form: WLWDDLDW.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Concarneau 0–0 Gobelins (30 Apr 2026)
- Gobelins 0–0 Concarneau (12 Dec 2025)
- Gobelins 2–1 Concarneau (16 May 2025)
- Concarneau 2–0 Gobelins (16 Aug 2024)
- Concarneau 3–0 Gobelins (14 Apr 2023)