Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Compostela vs Real Oviedo II Prediction

Compostela badgeCompostela vs Real Oviedo II badgeReal Oviedo II

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since the away side carries only a 10% chance.
  • Compostela's defensive edge (69 vs 31) and Poisson dominance (77 vs 23) support the advice despite Oviedo II's stronger attack rating.
  • Both teams show identical 50% form, but Oviedo II's away record of two losses without a win undercuts their attacking threat.
  • Compostela's low scoring (0.5 per game) and three failures to score explain why the draw probability matches the home win.
  • Head-to-head favors Compostela at 64%, though the last meeting went to Oviedo II, adding uncertainty to the outright win.
  • Oviedo II's 2.3 goals conceded per game and zero clean sheets suggest Compostela can score, but their own scoring drought tempers confidence.
Predicted winner
Compostela
Betting advice
Double chance : Compostela or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorCompostelaReal Oviedo II
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence69.0%31.0%
Poisson77.0%23.0%
H2h64.0%36.0%
Goals60.0%40.0%
Total57.5%42.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Compostela

Recent form: LDWL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Real Oviedo II

Recent form: WLLD.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Real Oviedo II 0–1 Compostela (20 Apr 2024)
  2. Compostela 1–0 Real Oviedo II (10 Dec 2023)
  3. Compostela 0–0 Real Oviedo II (22 Jan 2023)
  4. Real Oviedo II 2–1 Compostela (03 Sep 2022)
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