Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Real Oviedo II Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance, since the away side carries only a 10% chance.
- Compostela's defensive edge (69 vs 31) and Poisson dominance (77 vs 23) support the advice despite Oviedo II's stronger attack rating.
- Both teams show identical 50% form, but Oviedo II's away record of two losses without a win undercuts their attacking threat.
- Compostela's low scoring (0.5 per game) and three failures to score explain why the draw probability matches the home win.
- Head-to-head favors Compostela at 64%, though the last meeting went to Oviedo II, adding uncertainty to the outright win.
- Oviedo II's 2.3 goals conceded per game and zero clean sheets suggest Compostela can score, but their own scoring drought tempers confidence.
- Predicted winner
- Compostela
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Compostela or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Compostela | Real Oviedo II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Defence | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Poisson | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| H2h | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Goals | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Compostela
Recent form: LDWL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Real Oviedo II
Recent form: WLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Real Oviedo II 0–1 Compostela (20 Apr 2024)
- Compostela 1–0 Real Oviedo II (10 Dec 2023)
- Compostela 0–0 Real Oviedo II (22 Jan 2023)
- Real Oviedo II 2–1 Compostela (03 Sep 2022)


