Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Spain
Comillas vs Pradejón Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward a Comillas win or draw, assigning 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw against only 10% for a Pradejón victory, and the double-chance advice reflects that combined 90% coverage. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Comillas hold the better form score (56.00 vs 44.00) and a far stronger defence rating (67.00 vs 33.00), while Pradejón counter with superior attack (57.00 vs 43.00) and goals figures (57.00 vs 43.00). The Poisson values are both 0.00 and the head-to-head split is an even 50/50, so those two inputs neither reinforce nor undermine the advice and should be treated as neutral. Comillas' three-match form of WDD, with one win and two draws and no defeats, aligns with the draw-heavy probability, though their single home outing produced a clean sheet but also a failure to score, hinting at limited home goal threat. Pradejón's LWD over the same span shows they can win away (1-2 at Vianés) but also lose at home, and their goals analysis shows they have scored in every match while conceding in all three, giving them a persistent both-ends profile. The goals analysis further supports a low-scoring lean, as neither side has gone over 2.5 goals in any of their three league matches, and Comillas' goals are concentrated late (two of three after the 76th minute). The last-five records add a cautionary note: Comillas' extended run includes cup defeats and a 3-2 win over L'Hospitalet, while Pradejón's sequence contains three losses, suggesting their recent form is more fragile than the league-only sample implies. The head-to-head record is genuinely mixed, with Comillas winning 3-2 at home in February 2026, a 1-1 draw in September 2025, and older results split between a Pradejón 3-0 win and a Comillas 1-0 away win, so it does not clearly favour either side. Overall, the evidence supports the double-chance advice mainly through Comillas' defensive solidity and Pradejón's leaky record, but the small three-match samples, the even head-to-head, and Pradejón's superior attacking numbers mean the 10% away probability looks like the least secure part of the model's output.
- Predicted winner
- Comillas
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Comillas or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Comillas | Pradejón |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Comillas
Recent form: WDD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Pradejón
Recent form: LWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Comillas 3–2 Pradejón (08 Feb 2026)
- Pradejón 1–1 Comillas (28 Sep 2025)
- Pradejón 3–0 Comillas (06 Jun 2021)
- Comillas 2–2 Pradejón (01 May 2021)
- Pradejón —–— Comillas (26 Apr 2020)


