Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the equal split signals genuine uncertainty rather than clear away superiority.
- Estudiantes' stronger recent form and superior attack and defence ratings support their favoured status, but Colon's home record of nine wins in fifteen complicates that read.
- Colon's home scoring average of 1.60 against Estudiantes' modest away attack suggests the home side carries more threat than their 10% win probability implies.
- Both teams' goal distributions show almost every match staying under 3.5 goals, strongly reinforcing the under component of the advice.
- The head-to-head record leans toward Estudiantes with two wins and two draws, yet all four meetings were low-scoring and none produced a decisive away victory.
- Colon's recent run of three losses in five contrasts with Estudiantes' three wins, tilting momentum toward the visitors despite Colon's home advantage.
- Predicted winner
- CA Estudiantes
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or CA Estudiantes and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Colon Santa Fe | CA Estudiantes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| H2h | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Goals | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Colon Santa Fe
Recent form: WDDWLWWWLDDWDDDDWLWWLLDWWWLLLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
CA Estudiantes
Recent form: LLLLLWWWDWDDDLWDWWDWDLDLWLDLWWW.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- CA Estudiantes 1–1 Colon Santa Fe (16 May 2026)
- CA Estudiantes 1–0 Colon Santa Fe (27 Sep 2025)
- Colon Santa Fe 0–0 CA Estudiantes (24 May 2025)
- Colon Santa Fe 2–2 CA Estudiantes (17 Oct 2019)