Colombia vs Peru Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Colombia or draw
Match prediction
- Colombia's superior recent form and defensive rating support the double-chance advice, though the equal home and draw probabilities show the model sees little separation.
- Peru's weak defence and poor away form raise Colombia's win ceiling, but Colombia's modest attack limits how strongly that edge converts.
- Head-to-head favours Peru and recent meetings were often drawn, which qualifies the advice by making the draw a genuine threat.
- Both teams' low scoring averages and frequent under 2.5 totals suggest a tight match where avoiding defeat matters more than winning.
- Colombia's home form is inconsistent with three home losses, so the draw component of the double chance carries real protective value.
- Peru's tendency to concede heavily away supports Colombia avoiding defeat, but their head-to-head record warns against expecting a comfortable win.
- Predicted winner
- Colombia
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Colombia or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Colombia | Peru |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Poisson | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| H2h | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Goals | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Colombia
Recent form: LLWWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Peru
Recent form: LDWLLD.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Colombia 0–0 Peru (06 Jun 2025)
- Peru 1–1 Colombia (07 Sep 2024)
- Colombia 0–1 Peru (28 Jan 2022)
- Colombia 3–2 Peru (10 Jul 2021)
- Colombia 1–2 Peru (21 Jun 2021)