Colchagua vs Provincial Osorno Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split reflects Provincial Osorno's stronger form and attack, though Colchagua's superior defence narrows the gap.
- Colchagua's five-match scoreless run and zero attack rating explain the low 10% home win probability despite home advantage.
- Both head-to-head meetings ended level, supporting the draw component of the double chance advice.
- Neither side has exceeded 3.5 goals in any match this season, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals selection.
- Provincial Osorno's recent form is stronger, but their last five show three losses, tempering confidence in an outright away win.
- Colchagua's defence rating of 64 against Osorno's attack of 100 suggests the away side may struggle to break through.
- Predicted winner
- Provincial Osorno
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Provincial Osorno and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Colchagua | Provincial Osorno |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Attack | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Defence | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Poisson | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Colchagua
Recent form: WWDWWWDDDWLLLDLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Provincial Osorno
Recent form: WWDWWDDDDWDWLDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Colchagua 0–0 Provincial Osorno (21 Jun 2026)
- Provincial Osorno 2–2 Colchagua (18 Apr 2026)


