Chile · Segunda División

Colchagua vs Provincial Osorno Prediction

Colchagua badgeColchagua vs Provincial Osorno badgeProvincial Osorno

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split reflects Provincial Osorno's stronger form and attack, though Colchagua's superior defence narrows the gap.
  • Colchagua's five-match scoreless run and zero attack rating explain the low 10% home win probability despite home advantage.
  • Both head-to-head meetings ended level, supporting the draw component of the double chance advice.
  • Neither side has exceeded 3.5 goals in any match this season, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals selection.
  • Provincial Osorno's recent form is stronger, but their last five show three losses, tempering confidence in an outright away win.
  • Colchagua's defence rating of 64 against Osorno's attack of 100 suggests the away side may struggle to break through.
Predicted winner
Provincial Osorno
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Provincial Osorno and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorColchaguaProvincial Osorno
Form20.0%80.0%
Attack0.0%100.0%
Defence64.0%36.0%
Poisson56.0%44.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total48.0%52.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Colchagua

Recent form: WWDWWWDDDWLLLDLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Provincial Osorno

Recent form: WWDWWDDDDWDWLDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Colchagua 0–0 Provincial Osorno (21 Jun 2026)
  2. Provincial Osorno 2–2 Colchagua (18 Apr 2026)
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