Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco Prediction
· Estadio Verapaz
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of a near-even contest rather than a confident away pick.
- Cobán's 10% win probability reflects a home side with two wins in eleven and no clean sheet at home all season.
- Malacateco's strong head-to-head and goals metrics are undercut by zero away wins in five, explaining why the model stops short of backing them outright.
- Both teams' away form is poor, with Cobán winless on the road and Malacateco winless away, supporting the draw half of the advice.
- Cobán's superior Poisson and attack ratings conflict with their weak home record, a tension the model resolves by keeping the home win probability low.
- Late goals dominate both teams' concessions, suggesting the match could stay level deep into the second half, which favours the draw component.
- Predicted winner
- Malacateco
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Malacateco
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Cobán Imperial | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Attack | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Defence | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Poisson | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Cobán Imperial
Recent form: DLWLLLLDDDW.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Malacateco
Recent form: DLDLWLWLDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Malacateco 1–1 Cobán Imperial (26 Jul 2026)
- Malacateco 2–0 Cobán Imperial (17 Apr 2026)
- Cobán Imperial 2–0 Malacateco (24 Feb 2026)
- Cobán Imperial 0–1 Malacateco (15 Nov 2025)
- Malacateco 3–0 Cobán Imperial (13 Sep 2025)