Coastal Union vs Azam Prediction
· Mkwakwani Stadium
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Azam
Match prediction
- Azam's superior form, attack, defence, and Poisson ratings justify favouring them, but the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities explain why double chance is advised.
- Coastal Union's modest home record and lack of clean sheets suggest they can score but rarely dominate, supporting the draw-or-Azam safety net.
- Azam's recent away wins and draws show resilience on the road, though their loss to Simba indicates the double chance guards against an upset.
- Head-to-head results heavily favour Azam, including wins at Mkwakwani Stadium, reinforcing their edge while past draws justify covering the draw.
- Both teams' goal profiles point to a low-scoring contest, which keeps the match close and makes the double chance more prudent than a straight win.
- Coastal Union's tendency to concede late and Azam's balanced scoring spread suggest a tight game where the draw remains a genuine possibility.
- Predicted winner
- Azam
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Azam
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Coastal Union | Azam |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Attack | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Defence | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Poisson | 28.0% | 72.0% |
| H2h | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Goals | 13.0% | 88.0% |
| Total | 29.7% | 70.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Coastal Union
Recent form: LLDLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Azam
Recent form: DWWDWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Coastal Union 0–2 Azam (27 Jun 2026)
- Azam 3–0 Coastal Union (17 Jan 2026)
- Coastal Union 0–0 Azam (19 Feb 2025)
- Azam 1–0 Coastal Union (22 Sep 2024)
- Azam 1–1 Coastal Union (06 Mar 2024)


