Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Club Leon U21 vs Juarez U21 Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Club Leon U21 a 50% home probability and a 50% draw probability, with Juarez U21 at 0%, producing the double-chance advice of Club Leon U21 or draw. That output is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Leon lead on form (63.00 vs 38.00), attack (61.00 vs 39.00), defence (60.00 vs 40.00), Poisson (60.00 vs 40.00), goals (75.00 vs 25.00) and total (63.80 vs 36.40), while the head-to-head split is the most extreme at 100.00 to 0.00. Leon's team analysis reinforces this: a WWLWWWWWW sequence with 8 wins and no draws in 9 matches, 3 clean sheets and only 1 failure to score, whereas Juarez's LWDWLLWW record shows 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 8 games. The goals analysis adds nuance rather than simply confirming dominance, since Leon average 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match compared with Juarez's 1.10 scored and 1.10 conceded, and both teams have stayed under 2.5 goals in the majority of their matches. Leon's last five (four wins and a draw, including 2-0 and 3-2 victories) look stronger than Juarez's last five, which contain four draws and one loss, although the small sample means those recent results should be treated as indicative rather than decisive. The head-to-head record is also thin, with only two meetings: Leon won 1-0 at home in April 2026, while Juarez won 2-1 at home in September 2025, so the 100% home split in the comparison metrics rests on a very limited history. One qualification is that Juarez's penalty data (23 scored from 29, 79.31%) is far more substantial than Leon's (3 from 4, 75.00%), which may hint at a different attacking profile but does not directly contradict the match-level evidence. Overall, the form, goals and head-to-head sections align well enough to support the existing double-chance advice, but the 50% draw component and the low-scoring tendencies in both teams' goal distributions mean the prediction should be read as a cautious lean rather than a certainty.
- Predicted winner
- Club Leon U21
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Club Leon U21 or draw
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Club Leon U21 | Juarez U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| Defence | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Poisson | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Club Leon U21
Recent form: WWLWWWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Juarez U21
Recent form: LWDWLLWW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Club Leon U21 1–0 Juarez U21 (18 Apr 2026)
- Juarez U21 1–2 Club Leon U21 (26 Sep 2025)


