Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

Cirbonero vs Mutilvera Prediction

Cirbonero badgeCirbonero vs Mutilvera badgeMutilvera

Match prediction

  • Mutilvera's unbeaten four-match start and three clean sheets justify favoring them, though the model splits 45-45 between away win and draw.
  • Cirbonero have failed to score in three of four league games, supporting the low-scoring under 3.5 goals component of the advice.
  • Mutilvera's attack is modest at 0.8 goals per game, which explains why the model cannot separate a win from a draw.
  • The head-to-head record favors Cirbonero, a genuine counterweight to Mutilvera's stronger current form and defensive numbers.
  • Both teams' matches have stayed under 3.5 goals, reinforcing the combined draw-or-Mutilvera and under 3.5 goals selection.
  • Cirbonero's home form includes a 0-4 loss and no goals scored at home, making an outright home win unlikely at 10 percent.
Predicted winner
Mutilvera
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Mutilvera and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorCirboneroMutilvera
Form20.0%80.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence13.0%88.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total42.6%57.6%

Team form and goal analysis

Cirbonero

Recent form: LDDL.

Average goals scored: 0.30 per match.

Mutilvera

Recent form: DWDW.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cirbonero 3–0 Mutilvera (06 Apr 2025)
  2. Mutilvera 2–1 Cirbonero (23 Nov 2024)
  3. Cirbonero 1–0 Mutilvera (12 Feb 2023)
  4. Mutilvera 0–1 Cirbonero (24 Sep 2022)
  5. Mutilvera 1–3 Cirbonero (18 Jan 2020)
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