Cieza vs Atlético Baleares Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Cieza a 45% win probability and the draw another 45%, leaving Atlético Baleares at just 10%, which frames the advice of a Cieza-or-draw double chance combined with under 3.5 goals. That stance is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Cieza's form score of 80.00 dwarfs Baleares' 20.00 and the defensive split of 78.00 against 22.00 is similarly lopsided, while the Poisson column reads 100.00 to 0.00 in Cieza's favour. The one clear counterweight is attack, where Baleares actually lead 60.00 to 40.00, hinting that the visitors are not entirely toothless going forward even if their overall profile is weaker. The team analysis supports the defensive reading: Cieza have one clean sheet in three matches and have conceded only twice, whereas Baleares have no clean sheets and shipped seven goals across three games, including a 1-4 home defeat. Cieza's form string of DWL is modest rather than dominant, and their single home win was a narrow 1-0, so the 45% home probability looks more like cautious favouritism than clear superiority. Baleares' LDL run, with a 2-2 draw at Intercity and a 0-1 loss at Yeclano, shows they can be competitive away but have struggled to convert that into results. The goals analysis tilts toward the under component of the advice, since Cieza average just 0.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game, and every one of their matches stayed under 1.5 goals, while Baleares' 2.30 goals-against average is inflated by the four-goal home loss. Baleares do carry some attacking threat, scoring twice in the 61-75 minute window and averaging 1.00 goal per game, but their concession pattern is spread across the match and they have failed to score once, which keeps the -3.5 goals element plausible. The last-five records broadly echo the same picture, with Cieza taking three wins, a draw and a loss while Baleares managed two wins, a draw and two defeats, though several of those Baleares wins came in August against Real Madrid III and SS Reyes. No head-to-head record is available, and the goals comparison fields for both sides are empty, so the historical matchup dimension cannot be used to either confirm or challenge the model's lean toward Cieza and a low-scoring game.

Predicted winner

Cieza

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Cieza or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.