Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie C
Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Hlinsko Prediction
· Mestsky Stadion Chlumec
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Hlinsko's 10% away share is the clear outlier.
- Chlumec's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings all point one way, yet the even head-to-head split and Hlinsko's goal edge caution against backing an outright home win.
- Chlumec's four straight wins, including three clean-sheet-adjacent low-scoring results, support the draw-inclusive cover rather than a straight victory.
- Hlinsko's away record is volatile, mixing a 6-0 win with a 5-0 loss, which explains why the model still assigns them a small but nonzero away chance.
- Both sides average under two goals scored, so the probabilities lean toward a tight, low-margin contest where the draw leg carries real weight.
- The head-to-head sample is only two matches and split evenly, so it neither confirms home dominance nor undermines the double-chance selection.
- Predicted winner
- Chlumec nad Cidlinou
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Chlumec nad Cidlinou or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Chlumec nad Cidlinou | Hlinsko |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Defence | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Poisson | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
Recent form: LDLLWWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Hlinsko
Recent form: DWWWLWLL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Chlumec nad Cidlinou 3–2 Hlinsko (08 Mar 2026)
- Hlinsko 4–2 Chlumec nad Cidlinou (09 Aug 2025)


