Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs Sevilla III Prediction
Match prediction
- The model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each, so the double chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
- Chiclana's superior form, attack, and defence ratings support avoiding an away win, though the modest gaps keep the home win probability capped.
- Sevilla III's head-to-head and goals records favour them historically, which qualifies the advice by showing the away side is not without threat.
- Both teams have scored in only half their matches and neither averages above 1.5 goals, suggesting a low-scoring game that raises draw likelihood.
- Sevilla III's away form is weak with no wins and no goals scored on the road, reinforcing the case against backing them outright.
- Chiclana's mixed recent results, including a home loss and a goalless draw, explain why the model stops short of predicting a straight home victory.
- Predicted winner
- Chiclana
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Chiclana or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Chiclana | Sevilla III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Attack | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Defence | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Chiclana
Recent form: WDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Sevilla III
Recent form: LLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sevilla III 1–1 Chiclana (25 Jan 2026)
- Chiclana 0–2 Sevilla III (14 Sep 2025)


