Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

Chiclana vs Sevilla III Prediction

Chiclana badgeChiclana vs Sevilla III badgeSevilla III

Match prediction

  • The model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent each, so the double chance advice reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear home edge.
  • Chiclana's superior form, attack, and defence ratings support avoiding an away win, though the modest gaps keep the home win probability capped.
  • Sevilla III's head-to-head and goals records favour them historically, which qualifies the advice by showing the away side is not without threat.
  • Both teams have scored in only half their matches and neither averages above 1.5 goals, suggesting a low-scoring game that raises draw likelihood.
  • Sevilla III's away form is weak with no wins and no goals scored on the road, reinforcing the case against backing them outright.
  • Chiclana's mixed recent results, including a home loss and a goalless draw, explain why the model stops short of predicting a straight home victory.
Predicted winner
Chiclana
Betting advice
Double chance : Chiclana or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorChiclanaSevilla III
Form64.0%36.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Chiclana

Recent form: WDLW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Sevilla III

Recent form: LLWD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sevilla III 1–1 Chiclana (25 Jan 2026)
  2. Chiclana 0–2 Sevilla III (14 Sep 2025)
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