Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction

Match prediction

• Vancouver's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings explain why the model gives them a 45% win probability, matching the draw.
• Chicago's 10% win probability reflects their weaker recent form and a home record that includes four defeats in twelve.
• The draw's equal 45% share is supported by Chicago's five away draws and Vancouver's tendency to draw, making the double chance advice sensible.
• Vancouver's 11 clean sheets and 1.00 goals-against average contrast with Chicago's leaky defence, strengthening the case against a home win.
• Head-to-head away dominance, with Vancouver winning recent meetings at both venues, reinforces the away-leaning double chance.
• Chicago's 1.20 home goals-against average and failure to score in only two matches suggests they can contribute goals, so the draw leg remains live.

Predicted winner

Vancouver Whitecaps

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Vancouver Whitecaps

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 Chicago Fire (23 Mar 2025)
2. Chicago Fire 0–1 Vancouver Whitecaps (31 Aug 2023)
3. Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 Chicago Fire (24 Jul 2022)
4. Vancouver Whitecaps 3–2 Chicago Fire (10 Apr 2021)
5. Chicago Fire 0–2 Vancouver Whitecaps (23 Jul 2020)