England · League Two

Chesterfield vs Tranmere Prediction

· Proact Stadium

Chesterfield badgeChesterfield vs Tranmere badgeTranmere

Match prediction

  • The model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight Chesterfield win.
  • Chesterfield's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings support their stronger side of the double chance.
  • Tranmere's head-to-head edge and better goals record qualify the advice, keeping draw risk meaningful.
  • Tranmere's five draws in eight matches and low scoring away form reinforce the draw component.
  • Both teams' goal totals stay under 2.5 in nearly every match, suggesting a tight, low-scoring contest.
  • Chesterfield's mixed recent form and home draw tendency prevent stronger confidence in an outright win.
Predicted winner
Chesterfield
Betting advice
Double chance : Chesterfield or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorChesterfieldTranmere
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence42.0%58.0%
Poisson55.0%45.0%
H2h38.0%62.0%
Goals43.0%57.0%
Total49.8%50.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Chesterfield

Recent form: LWLDDWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Tranmere

Recent form: WDDDWLDD.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Chesterfield 1–1 Tranmere (11 Apr 2026)
  2. Tranmere 1–1 Chesterfield (25 Oct 2025)
  3. Tranmere 4–0 Chesterfield (05 Apr 2025)
  4. Chesterfield 3–0 Tranmere (07 Dec 2024)
  5. Tranmere 2–1 Chesterfield (01 Dec 2012)
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