Russia · Supreme Division Women

Chertanovo W vs Ryazan W Prediction

· Chertanovo Arena

Chertanovo W badgeChertanovo W vs Ryazan W badgeRyazan W

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since Ryazan's six draws show they can hold a result.
  • Chertanovo's superior form, attack, defence and head-to-head scores all favour them, but their seven home defeats in nine explain why the model avoids backing a home win outright.
  • Ryazan's single win in nineteen matches and eleven failed-to-score games make an away victory unlikely, supporting the double-chance advice.
  • Chertanovo's home scoring average of 0.60 against 2.30 conceded shows their venue weakness, so the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
  • Both teams' recent form is poor, with Chertanovo losing three of five and Ryazan winless, suggesting a low-quality match where the draw is plausible.
  • Head-to-head results are mixed across venues, so the 71% home edge should be treated as a broad trend rather than a decisive signal.
Predicted winner
Chertanovo W
Betting advice
Double chance : Chertanovo W or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorChertanovo WRyazan W
Form80.0%20.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence59.0%41.0%
Poisson55.0%45.0%
H2h71.0%29.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total65.3%34.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Chertanovo W

Recent form: LLLLWLWWLWLDDWWLDLL.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Ryazan W

Recent form: LLDWLDLLLDLLDDDLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ryazan W 1–4 Chertanovo W (16 May 2026)
  2. Chertanovo W 4–1 Ryazan W (18 Oct 2025)
  3. Ryazan W 3–5 Chertanovo W (17 May 2025)
  4. Ryazan W 1–0 Chertanovo W (21 Jul 2024)
  5. Chertanovo W 1–1 Ryazan W (09 Mar 2024)
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