Chauray vs Avranches Prediction
Match prediction
- Avranches' superior form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics justify favouring them, though the model's 45% draw probability explains the double-chance advice.
- Chauray's five-match winless run with four defeats and only three goals scored supports the low 10% home win probability.
- Avranches' away record of two wins from three, including a 3-0 victory, shows they can perform on the road despite a recent loss.
- Chauray's defensive record of 1.80 goals conceded per game against Avranches' 0.60 suggests the visitors should control this fixture.
- The head-to-head split of one win each is a small sample that tempers confidence, consistent with the draw carrying equal weight to an away win.
- Both sides have scored only three and six goals respectively, so the model's caution and lack of an under-over selection reflect limited attacking evidence.
- Predicted winner
- Avranches
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Avranches
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Chauray | Avranches |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 11.0% | 89.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Poisson | 17.0% | 83.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 29.3% | 70.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Chauray
Recent form: LDLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.60 per match.
Avranches
Recent form: WDWDL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Chauray 1–0 Avranches (21 Mar 2026)
- Avranches 3–1 Chauray (18 Oct 2025)