Chasselay MDA vs Lyon Duchere Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Lyon Duchere's 10% win probability makes an away victory the clear outlier.
• Chasselay's unbeaten four-match form, including three draws, aligns with the elevated draw probability and supports covering both outcomes.
• Lyon Duchere's four defeats in five, with fourteen goals conceded, explain why the model concentrates nearly all probability on the home side or a draw.
• Chasselay's defensive comparison advantage is decisive, while their modest attack suggests the draw remains a genuine threat rather than a formality.
• Head-to-head splits evenly and recent meetings are distant, so historical results add little beyond confirming the fixture's competitive balance.
• Chasselay's tendency toward low-scoring draws and Lyon Duchere's leaky defence pull in opposite directions, keeping the double chance safer than a straight home win.

Predicted winner

Chasselay MDA

Betting advice

Double chance : Chasselay MDA or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Lyon Duchere 1–0 Chasselay MDA (09 Apr 2022)
2. Chasselay MDA 5–1 Lyon Duchere (23 Oct 2021)
3. Lyon Duchere 0–0 Chasselay MDA (20 Feb 2016)
4. Chasselay MDA 0–0 Lyon Duchere (21 Oct 2015)
5. Lyon Duchere 0–0 Chasselay MDA (14 Feb 2015)