Changwon City vs Yangpyeong Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Yangpyeong's 10% away win probability is the clear outlier.
• Changwon's superior defence and Poisson edge support the home-lean, though identical 50% form scores show recent results alone don't separate these teams.
• Yangpyeong's attack rating exceeds Changwon's, but their zero away wins in twelve attempts materially undercuts that advantage on the road.
• Head-to-head favours Changwon 71 to 29, yet the most recent meeting went Yangpyeong's way, so the historical edge is not decisive.
• Both sides enter on poor runs, with Changwon losing four of five and Yangpyeong winless in five, which strengthens the draw component of the advice.
• Yangpyeong's 2.00 goals-against average and 43 conceded reflect defensive fragility, supporting Changwon's inclusion rather than an outright away threat.

Predicted winner

Changwon City

Betting advice

Double chance : Changwon City or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Yangpyeong 1–0 Changwon City (09 May 2026)
2. Changwon City 1–0 Yangpyeong (27 Jul 2025)
3. Yangpyeong 0–0 Changwon City (06 Apr 2025)
4. Yangpyeong 1–5 Changwon City (18 Aug 2024)
5. Changwon City 2–0 Yangpyeong (21 Apr 2024)