Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda Prediction
· Stade El Bachir
Match prediction
- USM Oujda's perfect recent form and win contrast sharply with Chabab Mohammedia's opening loss, supporting the away-winner advice despite the modest sample.
- The model splits 45% away and 45% draw, so the winner call carries real uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
- Head-to-head favors Chabab Mohammedia 80 to 20, directly conflicting with the form-based pick and qualifying confidence in USM Oujda.
- Chabab Mohammedia failed to score in their only league match, while USM Oujda scored twice, reinforcing the attacking gap behind the prediction.
- Both teams' single-game samples are too small to treat form and goal splits as stable, so the probabilities remain the more reliable guide.
- The 10% home probability is unusually low for a home side, suggesting the model weighs current form far more than venue advantage.
- Predicted winner
- USM Oujda
- Betting advice
- Winner : USM Oujda
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Chabab Mohammédia | USM Oujda |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Attack | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Chabab Mohammédia
Recent form: L.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
USM Oujda
Recent form: W.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Chabab Mohammédia 1–0 USM Oujda (01 Mar 2026)
- USM Oujda 1–1 Chabab Mohammédia (05 Oct 2025)