CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Real Valladolid II as the winner, yet its own probabilities are split evenly at 50% draw and 50% away with 0% for a CF Talavera win, so the advice is better read as a cautious lean than a confident call. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Valladolid II dominates form (75 versus 25), attack (88 versus 13), defence (67 versus 33), goals (80 versus 20) and total (77.5 versus 22.8), while the Poisson and head-to-head columns are less informative because Poisson sits at 0.00 for both sides and the head-to-head split is a small two-match sample. Talavera's team analysis shows a winless LDD sequence across three games with two draws and one loss, and their goals profile is starkly low: one goal scored in three matches (0.30 per game) against four conceded (1.30 per game), with two of three games producing no goal at all. Their last five record extends that pattern, featuring three defeats and two draws, including a 0-3 loss at RSD Alcalá and a 0-2 home defeat to Navalcarnero, with only a single goal scored across those five outings. Valladolid II's WLW form is more productive, with two home wins and one away loss, and their goals analysis shows seven goals scored in three games (2.30 per game) against just two conceded (0.70 per game), though the 6-1 win over Albacete II inflates that average heavily. Their last five record is mixed rather than dominant, containing two wins, two losses and a draw, and notably both defeats came away from home, which qualifies the away-win advice since their only away result in the sample was a 0-1 loss at SS Reyes. The head-to-head record offers little current guidance: the two meetings from 2021 both ended with the away side winning, including a 0-2 Valladolid II victory at Estadio El Prado, but those results come from a different league and season and cannot be treated as a reliable signal for this fixture. Overall, the evidence supports the model's directional preference for Valladolid II through superior form, attack and defensive numbers, but Talavera's habit of drawing and Valladolid II's away vulnerability keep the outcome genuinely uncertain, which is consistent with the even draw/away probability split.

Predicted winner

Real Valladolid II

Betting advice

Winner : Real Valladolid II

Home win probability

0%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

50%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Real Valladolid II 2–1 CF Talavera (06 Apr 2022)
2. CF Talavera 0–2 Real Valladolid II (29 Oct 2021)