Romania · Liga III - Serie 5

Cetatea vs LPS HD Clinceni Prediction

Cetatea badgeCetatea vs LPS HD Clinceni badgeLPS HD Clinceni

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities make the double chance advice the logical core, with Cetatea's 10% win chance too small to justify a home-side position.
  • LPS HD Clinceni's four wins in five matches, including three straight, contrast with Cetatea's alternating form and support the away-leaning double chance.
  • Cetatea's attack and defence ratings both sit at 53 against Clinceni's 47, a modest edge that qualifies but does not overturn the model's preference for the visitors.
  • The Poisson split of 74 to 26 in Cetatea's favour is the clearest conflict with the prediction, suggesting the model's probabilities rest more on form and goals data than on that metric.
  • Both teams average 1.50 goals conceded and Clinceni scores 2.70 per game, making the +2.5 goals component consistent with their combined attacking output.
  • Head-to-head results are mixed across six meetings, so the 62% away H2H rating reflects a slight Clinceni edge rather than clear dominance.
Predicted winner
LPS HD Clinceni
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or LPS HD Clinceni and +2.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+2.5

Prediction comparison

FactorCetateaLPS HD Clinceni
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson74.0%26.0%
H2h38.0%62.0%
Goals18.0%82.0%
Total46.0%54.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Cetatea

Recent form: LWLDWD.

Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.

LPS HD Clinceni

Recent form: DLWWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cetatea 1–0 LPS HD Clinceni (27 Feb 2026)
  2. LPS HD Clinceni 1–1 Cetatea (03 Oct 2025)
  3. Cetatea 0–0 LPS HD Clinceni (25 Apr 2025)
  4. LPS HD Clinceni 5–0 Cetatea (21 Mar 2025)
  5. Cetatea 0–3 LPS HD Clinceni (07 Mar 2025)
Loading interactive prediction…