Romania · Liga III - Serie 7

Cetate Deva vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii Prediction

Cetate Deva badgeCetate Deva vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii badgeGhiroda şi Giarmata Vii

Match prediction

  • The model gives Ghiroda and Cetate Deva identical 45% draw and away-win probabilities, so the double-chance advice reflects near-total uncertainty rather than a clear away edge.
  • Cetate Deva's attack rating exceeds Ghiroda's, but their far weaker defence rating and Poisson share explain why the model still favours the away side.
  • Ghiroda's superior form and defensive metrics are built largely on home matches, while their away record shows two draws and no wins, tempering the away-side confidence.
  • Head-to-head history is dominated by draws, with four of five meetings level, which directly supports including the draw in the advice.
  • Cetate Deva's recent form includes heavy defeats and a low-scoring attack, yet their away goals average of 2.50 suggests the home side can still contribute goals.
  • Both teams' goal profiles show frequent low-scoring outcomes, reinforcing that a tight, draw-prone match is more plausible than a decisive away victory.
Predicted winner
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorCetate DevaGhiroda şi Giarmata Vii
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson32.0%68.0%
H2h36.0%64.0%
Goals43.0%57.0%
Total40.0%60.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Cetate Deva

Recent form: WDWDLD.

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii

Recent form: LDDWDW.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 3–1 Cetate Deva (07 May 2024)
  2. Cetate Deva 3–3 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii (19 Apr 2024)
  3. Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 0–0 Cetate Deva (29 Mar 2024)
  4. Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 0–0 Cetate Deva (10 Nov 2023)
  5. Cetate Deva 2–2 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii (08 Sep 2023)
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