Uruguay · Copa Uruguay

Cerro Largo vs Rentistas Prediction

Cerro Largo badgeCerro Largo vs Rentistas badgeRentistas

Match prediction

  • Rentistas' far stronger recent form and defensive record justify favoring them, though Cerro Largo's winless but competitive draws keep the home side from being dismissed entirely.
  • The near-even 45/45 split between away win and draw explains why the model advises double chance rather than a straight Rentistas victory.
  • Cerro Largo's attack and Rentistas' defence both rate highly, but Cerro Largo's weak defensive score and winless run tilt the balance toward the visitors.
  • Both teams' goal totals stay under 3.5 in every recorded match, supporting the under component of the combined advice.
  • Head-to-head results are split evenly across ten meetings, so historical form offers little separation and reinforces the cautious draw-or-away approach.
  • Rentistas' away scoring has been inconsistent, with one blank and one three-goal outing, which tempers confidence in a high-scoring away win.
Predicted winner
Rentistas
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Rentistas and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorCerro LargoRentistas
Form20.0%80.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total39.0%61.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Cerro Largo

Recent form: LD.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Rentistas

Recent form: DW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cerro Largo 2–1 Rentistas (11 Oct 2022)
  2. Rentistas 2–0 Cerro Largo (21 May 2022)
  3. Cerro Largo 1–1 Rentistas (15 Nov 2021)
  4. Rentistas 1–3 Cerro Largo (30 Jul 2021)
  5. Rentistas 2–1 Cerro Largo (06 Feb 2021)
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