Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Cerdanyola del Vallès vs Martinenc Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Martinenc's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
- Cerdanyola's perfect home defensive record, two clean sheets without conceding, contrasts sharply with Martinenc's inability to keep any clean sheet.
- Martinenc's superior attack rating and higher goal output suggest they can score, but their leaky defence undermines any away-win case.
- Both teams share identical 50% form, yet Cerdanyola's home wins and Martinenc's away losses reveal the venue-specific edge behind the advice.
- The Poisson comparison heavily favours Cerdanyola, reinforcing the model's confidence while the empty head-to-head record leaves that factor neutral.
- Martinenc's four matches all produced goals, so the double chance rests on Cerdanyola avoiding defeat rather than on a low-scoring contest.
- Predicted winner
- Cerdanyola del Vallès
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Cerdanyola del Vallès or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Cerdanyola del Vallès | Martinenc |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Cerdanyola del Vallès
Recent form: DLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Martinenc
Recent form: WDDL.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


