Celaya vs Jaguares de Chiapas Prediction

Match prediction

• Celaya's unbeaten five-match form and superior attack and defence ratings justify the model favoring them, though the 50% draw probability explains the double-chance advice.
• Jaguares' recent away loss and failure to score in that match weaken their case, supporting the model's zero away-win probability.
• The head-to-head record shows Celaya unbeaten against Jaguares, reinforcing the home side's edge within the double-chance recommendation.
• Celaya's perfect home record with no losses and two clean sheets strengthens the home-or-draw advice despite the modest sample size.
• Jaguares' defensive vulnerability, conceding 1.5 goals per game, supports Celaya's attacking potential while their own low scoring limits an outright away win.
• The model's even split between home win and draw reflects Celaya's dominance tempered by Jaguares' tendency to draw, validating the cautious double-chance advice.

Predicted winner

Celaya

Betting advice

Double chance : Celaya or draw

Home win probability

50%

Draw probability

50%

Away win probability

0%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Celaya 1–1 Jaguares de Chiapas (12 Apr 2026)
2. Jaguares de Chiapas 0–1 Celaya (23 Nov 2025)