Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 · Spain
CDJ Tamarite vs Cuarte Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Cuarte as the winner, yet its 45% away probability is matched by a 45% draw and only a 10% home chance, so the advice is better read as a marginal call than a clear edge. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Cuarte leads on form (67 vs 33), attack (58 vs 42), defence (67 vs 33), Poisson (84 vs 16), head-to-head (85 vs 15) and goals (100 vs 0), but the total splits far less decisively at 72.2 versus 27.8. The team analysis explains part of that gap: CDJ Tamarite have played three matches with a W-L-L pattern, winning away at Binéfar 3-2 but losing both home games 1-2, while Cuarte's W-W-L includes a 5-2 home win and a 2-0 away win at Illueca before a 1-0 loss at Andorra CF. Cuarte's goal profile is stronger overall, averaging 2.30 scored and 1.00 conceded against Tamarite's 1.70 and 2.00, and their defensive record is helped by one clean sheet and just three goals against in three games. However, both teams' goals analysis shows small samples and shared vulnerabilities, with Tamarite conceding in every match and Cuarte failing to score once, while Tamarite's goals are spread across all six time bands and Cuarte concentrate 42.86% of theirs in the 61-75 minute window. The last-five records add a qualification: Tamarite's two wins in five came away from home, and Cuarte's most recent outing was a 1-0 defeat, so current form is not uniformly upward. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight to a confident away pick, since the last four meetings produced a 1-0 Cuarte home win, a 0-0 draw at Tamarite, a 0-0 draw at Cuarte and a 0-1 Tamarite win away, showing recent fixtures are tight and low-scoring rather than one-sided. Taken together, the evidence supports Cuarte as the model's narrow preference, but the drawn probability, the recent head-to-head stalemates and the small three-match samples mean the prediction should be treated as uncertain rather than assured.
- Predicted winner
- Cuarte
- Betting advice
- Winner : Cuarte
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | CDJ Tamarite | Cuarte |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 16.0% | 84.0% |
| H2h | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Total | 27.8% | 72.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
CDJ Tamarite
Recent form: LWL.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Cuarte
Recent form: WWL.
Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Cuarte 1–0 CDJ Tamarite (17 Jan 2026)
- CDJ Tamarite 0–0 Cuarte (06 Sep 2025)
- Cuarte 0–0 CDJ Tamarite (02 Feb 2025)
- CDJ Tamarite 0–1 Cuarte (22 Sep 2024)
- Cuarte 2–0 CDJ Tamarite (11 Feb 2024)


