CD Zafra vs Llerenense Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Llerenense with a "win or draw" double chance and an under -3.5 goals line, assigning 45% to both the draw and an away win while giving CD Zafra only a 10% chance, so the advice is essentially a low-scoring, non-home-victory projection. That stance is broadly consistent with the comparison metrics, where Llerenense holds the edge in form (60.00 vs 40.00), defence (100.00 vs 0.00) and Poisson (100.00 vs 0.00), though CD Zafra's superior attack score (63.00 vs 38.00) and slightly higher total (51.50 vs 49.00) show the model is not treating this as one-sided. The team analysis sharpens that tension: Llerenense arrive with a perfect WWW record, three wins from three, three clean sheets and no failure to score, while CD Zafra's WWL shows two wins but also a 2-0 away defeat to Moralo. CD Zafra's goal profile is volatile rather than consistently strong, since their five goals came largely from a 4-1 home win over Atlético Pueblonuevo, with only one goal across their two other matches and a 1.00 goals-against average. Llerenense's goals analysis is the clearest support for the under line, as they have scored exactly one goal in each of their three games, averaged 1.00 per match, and stayed under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 and 4.5 goals in all three. Their defensive record reinforces that, with zero goals conceded across three matches and every goals-against under line cleared, which helps explain why the model's probabilities tilt away from a Zafra win even though Zafra's attack metric is higher. The last-five records add a small-sample caveat: Llerenense's list includes four wins and one loss, but two of those results date from May 2026 and fall outside the current three-match run, while CD Zafra's three listed matches are all from September 2026. The head-to-head section is empty, so there is no historical meeting data to either support or contradict the double-chance advice, and the goals comparison fields for both teams are also zero, meaning the projection rests mainly on form, defence and the recent scoring pattern. Overall, the evidence coheres around a tight, low-scoring game in which Llerenense's clean-sheet streak and one-goal-per-game output justify the draw-or-away and under -3.5 combination, but CD Zafra's attacking score and home 4-1 result are enough to keep the outcome uncertain rather than assured.

Predicted winner

Llerenense

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Llerenense and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.